{"id":2151,"date":"2025-05-28T07:44:37","date_gmt":"2025-05-28T07:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/?p=2151"},"modified":"2025-05-28T07:44:39","modified_gmt":"2025-05-28T07:44:39","slug":"wmo-warns-of-high-probability-global-temperatures-will-breach-1-5c-threshold-by-2029","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/?p=2151","title":{"rendered":"WMO Warns of High Probability Global Temperatures Will Breach 1.5\u00b0C Threshold by 2029"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO)<\/strong> has issued a stark warning: there is a 70% chance<\/strong> that the average global temperature from 2025 to 2029<\/strong> will exceed 1.5\u00b0C above pre-industrial levels<\/strong>, raising fresh concerns about the accelerating pace of climate change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The findings are part of the WMO\u2019s annual Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update<\/strong>, released on Wednesday. The report also highlights an 80% likelihood<\/strong> that at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will surpass 2024<\/strong>\u2014the current warmest year on record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe have just experienced the 10 warmest years on record. Unfortunately, this WMO report provides no sign of respite over the coming years,\u201d said Ko Barrett<\/strong>, WMO Deputy Secretary-General.
\u201cThere will be a growing negative impact on our economies, our daily lives, our ecosystems and our planet. Continued climate monitoring and prediction is essential to provide decision-makers with science-based tools and information to help us adapt.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Key Findings from the WMO Report<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • 2024<\/strong> marked the first calendar year in which global average temperatures<\/strong> exceeded 1.5\u00b0C above the 1850\u20131900 baseline<\/strong>, the reference period before widespread industrialisation.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • The 1.5\u00b0C threshold<\/strong>, established under the Paris Agreement (2015)<\/strong>, is intended to limit the most catastrophic impacts of climate change. However, the report notes that a \u201cpermanent breach\u201d<\/strong> refers to sustained long-term warming over 20 to 30 years<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • The report estimates an 86% chance<\/strong> that at least one year between 2025 and 2029<\/strong> will see temperatures above 1.5\u00b0C<\/strong> compared to the 1850\u20131900 average.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • There is a 70% chance<\/strong> that the five-year average (2025\u20132029)<\/strong> will exceed the 1.5\u00b0C threshold<\/strong>, underscoring an accelerating trend of global warming.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
    \n\n\n\n

    Regional and Seasonal Impacts<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • South Asia<\/strong> has seen wetter-than-normal conditions<\/strong> in recent years (excluding 2023), a trend the WMO expects to continue between 2025 and 2029<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • In India, the India Meteorological Department (IMD)<\/strong> reported above-normal monsoon rainfall in four of the last five years<\/strong>, and forecasts above-normal monsoons again in 2025<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • The Arctic<\/strong> is projected to warm 2.4\u00b0C above average<\/strong> in upcoming winters (November\u2013March), which is over 3.5 times the global average<\/strong>. As a result, sea ice is likely to shrink further in key regions such as the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • From May to September<\/strong> during 2025\u20132029, regions like the Sahel, northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia<\/strong> may see increased rainfall, while the Amazon<\/strong> is expected to experience drier-than-normal conditions<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n\n\n\n

      Global Climate Action and Future Targets<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

      Countries are scheduled to submit updated nationally determined contributions (NDCs)<\/strong>\u2014their official climate action plans\u2014for the 2031\u20132035 period<\/strong> to the UN climate change office<\/strong> this year. These plans are central to achieving the Paris Agreement goal<\/strong> of limiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Despite alarming trends, the WMO stresses that early warnings, scientific modelling<\/strong>, and adaptation strategies<\/strong> remain key tools for mitigating future impacts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a stark warning: there is a 70% chance that the average global temperature from 2025 to 2029 will exceed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":2152,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2151","post","has-post-thumbnail","category-national"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2151","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2151"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2151\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2153,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2151\/revisions\/2153"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2152"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/duggarsamvad.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}